Recent news has the Honduran government preventing the return of President Zelaya by blocking the airport runways so that he cannot land. Thwarted, the Prez then goes to Nicaragua. The Organization of American States ( OAS) threatens to throw out the Honduran membership. The Honduras respond by quitting their membership anyway.
The supporters of Prez Zelaya are demonstrating in the streets and the more interesting things to note are: 1. the lack of press coverage for President Obama’s foreign policy action on this, 2. a muddled State Department response, and 3. Prez Zelaya is coming to the US to meet with Hillary Clinton.
These new South American coups are much more interesting than the old “line-them up-and-shoot-them-down” coups of fifty years ago.
Narco News supports the reinstatement of Prez Zelaya and is unimpressed by the military takeover.
This isn’t a government. It’s a clown show… a macabre one, in which the clowns are armed with machine guns and, like Batman’s super-villains, are shooting them at the audience.
Al Giordano fears that the upcoming visit ( today) byPrez Zelaya to see Sec’y of State Hillary Clinton will lead to a cut-off of foreign assistance to the Honduras. This in turn will lead to Honduran government snuggling with narco-trafficantes or the pro-Cuba ( anti-Castro) groups that supported terrorist Luis Posada Carrilles. ( If you have never read NarcoNews, this is the time to do that.)
I have read several of the SOB blogs ( that’s South of the Border to you ). They all believe that Prez Zelaya was ousted from power and should be returned. They think the coup was illegitimate. In other words they are putting too much emphasis on the current democracy debacle ( ousted Prez) ahead of the planned leftist takeover of the Honduran government. I am not sure why that is but they think the Prez should be re-instated. This will not happen as long as the military is there.
First, let me say that Honduras is still a serious banana production country with plantations run by Dole, Chiquita Brands, and Del Monte. They certainly do not wish to have a Chavez-style country that would require any change in the status quo. (Better the devil you know…) They will want social stability and a good return for their campaign contributions. Prez Zelaya would have upset the apple banana cart.
The military in the country said this:
One of the coup’s top military officials, Colonel Herberth Bayardo Inestroza, brazenly admitted to the Miami Herald last week that “we broke the law,” in carrying out the coup, followed by a shoulder shrugand so what? But among his most chilling statements – including an advance justification for political assassination by military snipers – was this gem:
“It would be difficult for us, with our training, to have a relationship with a leftist government. That’s impossible.”
So now we are coming to the basis for the coup: A leftist Prez that attempts to institute a change in term limits threatens the stability of a right wing corporate run country. To the Honduran military, nothing good can come from this.
This places the US in a sour pickle dilemna: support the right wing (Dole, DelMonte, Chaquita) or the established democratically-elected Prez ousted from power who broke a slew of laws and ignored the political bodies in the country.
Wurra, wurra, wurra. What to do?
I would look for Zelaya to go into exile. The US will not oppose Dole, Chiquita Brands, and DelMonte. With much handwringing and claims there is nothing they can do, the Obama Adminstration will support the existing military power and not Zelaya.